All the surveys and polls are unanimously declaring PML-N as the most popular party and its leader Nawaz Sharif as the most favorite candidate for the Prime Minister seat after next elections. Anchor persons and analysts in newspapers and TV are doing their arithmetic to prove the majority seats for PML-N.
There is no doubt that PML-N is more popular in the central Punjab region of Pakistan, but that’s about it. Even that popularity is going to be heavily dented by the Imran Khan’s PTI, and there are many seats where PML-Q, PPP, or independents would fully exploit the rift between PTI and PMLN, especially in the urban areas.
But even more than that, the real reason why I believe that Nawaz Sharif cannot be the Prime Minister after next elections is that he cannot lead any coalition government. He simply doesn’t that have in him. It is an open likelihood that after next elections, no party will gain absolute majority and in provinces (except Punjab) and center all would have to make coalitions to form the government. Nawaz Sharif’s arrogant, aloof and tight attitude makes him anti-coalition figure. He cannot sustain coalition let alone form it with ANP, MQM, and even with right wingers like JUI-F and JI.
PML-N might get thin majority in Punjab to form government, but would face a tough fight from PTI and PML-Q-PPP duo. President Zardari may pull out a coalition of PTI-PPP-PML-Q-PML-F in Punjab, and form a government.
So I am not at all hopeful about PML-N, which is I guess a good omen for the country, as we don’t need any Ameer-ul-Momaneen.