The Pakistani Spectator

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Why Nawaz Cannot Become PM After Next Elections

By Umer Toor • Mar 2nd, 2013 • Category: Lead Story, Politics, Worth A Second Look • One Response

All the surveys and polls are unanimously declaring PML-N as the most popular party and its leader Nawaz Sharif as the most favorite candidate for the Prime Minister seat after next elections. Anchor persons and analysts in newspapers and TV are doing their arithmetic to prove the majority seats for PML-N.

There is no doubt that PML-N is more popular in the central Punjab region of Pakistan, but that’s about it. Even that popularity is going to be heavily dented by the Imran Khan’s PTI, and there are many seats where PML-Q, PPP, or independents would fully exploit the rift between PTI and PMLN, especially in the urban areas.

But even more than that, the real reason why I believe that Nawaz Sharif cannot be the Prime Minister after next elections is that he cannot lead any coalition government. He simply doesn’t that have in him. It is an open likelihood that after next elections, no party will gain absolute majority and in provinces (except Punjab) and center all would have to make coalitions to form the government. Nawaz Sharif’s arrogant, aloof and tight attitude makes him anti-coalition figure. He cannot sustain coalition let alone form it with ANP, MQM, and even with right wingers like JUI-F and JI.

PML-N might get thin majority in Punjab to form government, but would face a tough fight from PTI and PML-Q-PPP duo. President Zardari may pull out a coalition of PTI-PPP-PML-Q-PML-F in Punjab, and form a government.

So I am not at all hopeful about PML-N, which is I guess a good omen for the country, as we don’t need any Ameer-ul-Momaneen.

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  1. 2007 February: Appears to be highly encouraging for Pakistan as several international financial institutions have painted a very upbeat picture of the current and future outlook for its economy.
    Summary of the three reports of the J. P Morgan, the Merrill Lynch, and the City Group on the performance of Pak economy have already appeared in the press in addition to a very positive report of the World Bank released in Washington on “Doing Business in South Asia - 2007, which gives high marks to Pakistan in improving its business environment. The turn-around engineered by Shaukat Aziz was applauded around the world. A 2005 Bloomberg headline, as reported by China’s Peoples Daily, proclaimed as follows: “The world’s second-fastest growing economy after China is no longer India. It’s Pakistan.”
    The Wall Street Journal did a story in September 2007 on Pakistan’s start-up boom that said, “Scores of new businesses once unseen in Pakistan, from fitness studios to chic coffee shops to hair-transplant centers, are springing up in the wake of a dramatic economic expansion. As a result, new wealth and unprecedented consumer choice have become part of Pakistan’s volatile social mix.”
    Here’s an excerpt from a UN Economic Survey 2008 report: “Pakistan’s economy maintained its momentum in 2007, growing by 7%, slightly more than the 6.6% for 2006. Agricultural sector growth recovered sharply, from 1.6% in 2006 to 5% in 2007, while the manufacturing sector growth continued at 8.4% in 2007, slightly more moderate than the 10% for 2006. Services grew at 8% in 2007, down from 9.6% in 2006. But exports were sluggish in 2007, with economic growth largely driven by strong domestic demand. Investment overtook consumption, helped by a surge in domestic private investment and record foreign direct investment (FDI) flows. In 2007, investment in real terms increased by over 20%.”
    March 2007: What happens ONE MONTH LATER to obstruct & destroy PAK’s bright economic future?
    And look into Pakistan economy at this time. This is a Tamacha to Anti-Musharraf people and biased electronic and print media.
    “IItne Jootey Parney chahyiey in logon ko ke shakal badal jaey, jinhon ne Pakistan ka kabara kar dia sirf chaar sal mein sirf aik shaks kee nafrat mein”
    Aey Allah, in Pakistan ke dushmano ko, politicians, anchor persons, columnists ex-generals=all Besharam logon ko iss dunya mein bhi saza dey aur aakhirat mein bhi jo sirf apni ana’ aur khooshi ki khatir mulk ka satyanas kar dia hey aur inn choron aur dakoon ko laney kay sab say badey zimmedaar hein;l.,
    Inshah Allah, ab logon ko jald pata chal jaega key kon acha tha aur kon bura.
    And the days are not too far when AWAM will blacken the faces of above mentioned and make them ride on donkeys and will be behind them with shoes throwing at these NANG-E-MILLAT people for bringing Pakistan and Pakistanis at this moment of current chaos and anarchy and musiba’h. Aameen
    Besharam waqai behiss

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