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US Election 2008 Result : Close Finish Expected

By Altaf Khan • Nov 4th, 2008 • Category: Politics, Worth A Second Look • 10 Comments

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John McCain:

# Arizona senator since 1987
# Age: 72
# Vietnam war hero, foreign-policy hawk and “maverick” senator ready to work with Democrats on legislation.

Slogans: Country First; Reform, Prosperity, Peace.

Line of attack: Barack Obama is too inexperienced, a celebrity not a real leader.

Running mate: Sarah Palin
# Alaska governor since November 2006
# Age: 44

Barack Obama:

# Illinois senator since 2005
# Age: 47
# Black politician with post-racial platform, a lawyer who worked with Chicago’s poor, author of popular memoirs.

Slogan: Change we can believe in. Yes we can!

Line of attack: McCain presidency would amount to a third term for George Bush.

Running mate: Joe Biden
# Delaware senator since 1973
# Age: 65

US Election 2008 Analysis By Professor Larry Sabato
University of Virginia

Realistically, many observers doubt that Obama will hit the 383 mark, and perhaps even the lower 364. Indiana, North Dakota, and West Virginia may be a bridge too far, and no-one would be surprised to see McCain hold on to Missouri and North Carolina.

Should McCain win relatively conservative Florida, Ohio, or Virginia, it would count as only a mild upset. After all, these eight states backed George Bush twice, and only Ohio was even close.

Analysts are straining to come up with ways McCain could reverse the flow of the election at this late date. The truth is, such a task is out of his hands.

A major terrorist strike or an international crisis might give McCain the opportunity to demonstrate his commander-in-chief credentials, though there are no guarantees this would work.

The much-discussed “Tom Bradley-Doug Wilder” effect, named after two black politicians who unexpectedly lost many white votes on election days in the 1980s, could enable McCain to sneak past Obama on 4 November. Yet the country has made great strides in race relations over the past several decades, and it would be a major surprise if so-called “racial leakage” at the polls cost Obama the White House. It is important to note that some presidential contests have tightened considerably in their final days, resulting in a closer-than-expected finish.


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10 Responses »

  1. WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Democrat Barack Obama has firm control of the U.S. presidential election heading into Tuesday’s voting, with Republican John McCain searching for signs of hope in an increasingly bleak political landscape.
    Obama in control heading into election
    Mon Nov 3, 2008

    Obama has led McCain in every national opinion poll since late September, and is ahead with more than 300 state electoral votes — far more than the 270 needed to capture the White House.

    McCain’s camp says the race has tightened down the stretch in battleground states, but some national and state polls show Obama expanding his lead in the final days of a grueling two-year campaign.

    To win, McCain must fend off Obama in about a dozen states won by Republican President George W. Bush in 2004. Obama is ahead or running even with the Arizona senator in at least eight of them, including the big prizes of Ohio and Florida.

  2. [...] post by WP-AutoBlog Import var AdBrite_Title_Color = ‘0000FF’; var AdBrite_Text_Color = ‘000000′; var [...]

  3. Interesting piece! With the 2008 presidential campaign finally wrapping up tomorrow, I thought you might be interested in some light-hearted political fun. Here at Public Agenda, we think that political movies have the potential to encourage public engagement, as many films explore intriguing social and political themes. That’s why Public Agenda is asking what your favorite political movies are!

    We’ve posted a list of our favorites at http://www.publicagenda.org/pages/our-favorite-political-movies and we’re asking you to post yours at http://www.publicagenda.org/forum/election-2008/your-favorite-political-movies.

    Also, be sure to check out our non-partisan Voter’s Survival Kit at http://publicagenda.org/citizen/electionguides.

  4. You guys are just full of it . Pretending to be so politically aware.
    Do you really think it matters as to who wins there?

  5. Mama Qaiser
    Maaf karna Mamaji.
    Awain Panga na layo, we are full of it already.
    You gossip, waste time in awaragardian with friends, gudian udaian, played with yourself, ussan tuhanon kugh kiah eh. Eh balaghan dian kheedan nain, dimagh chiadah eh. We live in this world. US election are important for the world specially Pakistan. We have to know ussan kainay danda karna eh. Cricket diakhday oh, ugglian nay paisay bananay tay tussan time waste karna tay naray marnay. Oye kugh sikho dinia da ilm. Gilian ich phirday rahnaday oh. Be aqlay jai.

  6. Meagan
    I have seen most of Political movies you listed on link. My favourite is The Candidate. This is Pakistan we like Bollywood movies and my most favourite is ” Kiran Arjun ” and ” Koyla ” You must watch.

  7. As skeptical as I am I think Obama has a fair chance of winning tomorrow. At leas thats the tide I see here.
    For Obama to win he has to win the midwest.

  8. In my own opinion I think Obama has fair chance to win todays election but my fear is will american allow black to rule them. I believe that obama can give us the change we need most

  9. [...] US Election 2008 Result : Close Finish Expected John McCain:  # Arizona senator since 1987 # Age: 72 # Vietnam war hero, foreign-policy hawk and “maverick” senator ready to work with Democrats on legislation. Slogans: Country First; Reform, Prosperity, Peace. Line of attack: Barack Obama is too inexperienced, a celebrity not a real leader. Running mate: Sarah Palin # Alaska governor since November 2006 # Age: 44 Barack Obama:  # Illinois senator since 2005 # Age: 47 # Black politician with post-racial platform, a lawyer who wor [...]

  10. [...] US Election 2008 Result : Close Finish Expected John McCain:  # Arizona senator since 1987 # Age: 72 # Vietnam war hero, foreign-policy hawk and “maverick” senator ready to work with Democrats on legislation. Slogans: Country First; Reform, Prosperity, Peace. Line of attack: Barack Obama is too inexperienced, a celebrity not a real leader. Running mate: Sarah Palin # Alaska governor since November 2006 # Age: 44 Barack Obama:  # Illinois senator since 2005 # Age: 47 # Black politician with post-racial platform, a lawyer who wor [...]

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